With 2025 coming to an end, Donald Trump’s supportive approach to cryptocurrency has not proven to suffice to sustain the sector's advances, once the source of broad optimism and enthusiasm. The final quarter of 2025 have seen roughly $1 trillion in market capitalization erased from the crypto market, despite bitcoin reaching an all-time-high price above $125,000 in early October.
That record high proved temporary. Bitcoin’s price plummeted just days later after an announcement of sweeping tariffs against Chinese goods created turmoil throughout financial markets on October 12th. The crypto market experienced an unprecedented $19 billion liquidated within a day – a record-setting liquidation event on record. Ethereum, saw a 40 percent decline in value in the subsequent weeks.
Crypto advocates was delivered the pro-bitcoin president they were promised during the campaign. Shortly after inauguration, a presidential directive was issued that repealed limitations against cryptocurrency while enacting business-friendly rules as well as a federal task force focused on crypto.
“The digital asset industry plays a crucial role in innovation and economic growth in the United States, as well as America's global standing,” the order read.
Again in spring, a new strategic digital asset reserve sparked a notable rally in the market, with values of select named coins soaring more than sixty percent. Bitcoin itself went up ten percent immediately following the was announced.
Cryptocurrency is sensitive to market sentiment and investor confidence worldwide, noted an industry expert. It’s what is called a speculative investment, an asset that does better when investors are feeling confident regarding economic conditions and are ready to assume greater risk.
“The administration may be pro-crypto, however, trade wars and tight monetary policy outweigh positive vibes,” they continued. “This also serves as just a reminder, particularly to those in the sector, that broader economic factors really matter more than political support.”
Later in the year, bitcoin underwent its most severe decline in price in several years, bringing the coin’s value to less than $81,000. While it recovered some of that value subsequently, the start of the final month with another slump, a six percent fall triggered by a major corporate holder cutting its earnings forecast because of falling crypto prices. Bitcoin’s price now hovers near $90,000.
Market observers fear the sector is entering what's termed a prolonged bear market, an era of low activity and declining prices. The last such downturn lasted from the end of 2021 into 2023. That period witnessed Bitcoin fall approximately 70% in price.
“The recent crash does not reflect a shift in belief, but a collision of three structural factors: the aftershocks of a $19bn deleveraging event; investors fleeing risk driven by geopolitical trade disputes; and, crucially, the potential unraveling of the corporate treasury trade,” stated a noted economist.
Another potential factor impacting digital assets is the decline in values of artificial intelligence companies. “A key reason for the link to the AI cycle is because many bitcoin miners have diversified their power into AI data centers,” it was explained. “Pessimism in tech tends to sneak into the crypto space.”
Amid the worries over a crypto winter, notable players within the industry have expressed confidence about the long-term value of the currency. A top CEO remarked “there was no chance” Bitcoin's value would go to zero and that 2025 would be seen as the time “when crypto went from gray market to a mainstream institution”. A separate noted growing interest from institutional investors.
Some believe this downturn fits the pattern of past four-year bitcoin cycles , adding that a deeply prolonged downturn is not a certainty.
“If I was looking of a traditional bitcoin cycle, we are technically in a bear market,” said one analyst. “But as you can see, despite all of these macros impacting the market, bitcoin has still managed to set a price above $80,000.”
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